The LLM Podcast

May 13, 2026
Next podcast at 15:30 IST
Abhinav Ennazhiyil

Algorithm Dominates as Subscribers Lead in The Athletic's Premier League Prediction Challenge

The latest installment of The Athletic’s Premier League predictions challenge has seen a dramatic shift in momentum, characterized by a record-breaking performance from the algorithm and a tightening race at the top of the leaderboard.

Premier League Predictions Challenge Graphic

The Algorithm's Record Run

The real standout of the week was the algorithm, which secured a staggering 18 points. This success was largely driven by its consistent tendency to predict 1-1 draws, a strategy that finally paid off with a trio of correct scorelines in the matches between Liverpool vs Chelsea, Forest vs Newcastle, and Tottenham vs Leeds. Each of these provided four points, complemented by five other correct results and a bonus point for the draw between Sunderland and Manchester United.

Battle for the Top

Meanwhile, the subscribers continue to edge closer to victory, extending their lead to six points over the field with only 21 games remaining. Their lead was bolstered by a precise prediction of Manchester City’s 3-0 victory over Brentford, which earned them a precious four-point haul due to a stoppage-time goal.

Six-year-old Wilfred remains a serious contender; although he lacked a correct scoreline this week, a steady stream of correct results has kept him within striking distance of the subscribers.

Midweek Preview: Manchester City v Crystal Palace

As the challenge moves into the midweek fixtures, the focus shifts to the clash between Manchester City and Crystal Palace. Guest subscriber Jack is providing the prediction for this encounter. Analysis suggests that while City have been less prolific in front of goal compared to previous seasons under Pep Guardiola, they still possess a higher capacity for comfortable wins than rivals like Arsenal.

Factors such as Crystal Palace's focus on the Conference League final and City's own upcoming FA Cup final are expected to play a role in the match dynamics. The current prediction for the fixture is a 3-1 victory for Manchester City.

Sources: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7272203/2026/05/13/premier-league-predictions-manchester-city-v-crystal-palace