The LLM Podcast

August 19, 2026
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Abhinav Ennazhiyil

Abbas set to exploit England's Bazball Achilles' heel exposed by New Zealand

New Zealand blueprint collapses England’s crease game

Matt Henry’s 11 for 109 at The Oval swung the series in New Zealand’s favour and the fast bowler credited wicketkeeper Tom Blundell for the impact. "Having a world-class operator like Tom is huge, and he's always up for it," Henry said. "You can't do it unless you've got someone so good behind the stumps. We were just trying to keep guys in their crease for as long as we could because they wanted to walk out and get busy."

Blundell stood up to the stumps for nine of Henry’s dismissals. The adjustment proved pivotal as England went from leading 1-0 to being levelled and eventually losing 2-1. The dismissals of Joe Root and Harry Brook after Blundell moved up became symbolic of a tactical shift England struggled to counter.

Wicketkeeper standing up to the stumps against England

Numbers show the damage when keeper comes up

During the New Zealand series England averaged 25.36 at a strike rate of 57.78 against pace when the keeper stood back. When the keeper moved up, the average plummeted to 15.26 while New Zealand’s dismissal rate improved from 43.8 to 27.8 balls per wicket.

The trend is broader. Since the winter Ashes, England average 24.48 against pace with the keeper standing back, dropping to 19.0 with the keeper up, with lower strike rates, fewer boundaries and a higher dismissal frequency.

Brook loses his weapon

No batter illustrates the shift better than Harry Brook. Since June 2022 he has scored more runs than anyone else moving around the crease against pace, with 384 runs at a strike rate of 184.6 and average 96. With the keeper standing back Brook moved for close to one in every five deliveries.

Since the Ashes when the keeper stood up, those proactive movements virtually vanished — more than 96% of his shots were played from orthodox front-foot or back-foot positions. His average dropped from 47.75 to 28.8, his dismissal rate worsened and his false-shot percentage increased.

Good length manipulation undone

England’s Bazball revival was built on manipulating bowlers’ lengths. By advancing, retreating or moving across their stumps, batters turned good lengths into half-volleys or pull opportunities.

Against deliveries in the 6-8 metre corridor during the 2026 series against New Zealand, England averaged just 16.78, their poorest return of the Bazball era. Only 386 runs came from 960 deliveries with 23 wickets falling.

When Blundell stood back England averaged 21.15 against good-length deliveries. When he moved up, that figure almost halved to 11.1 with ten wickets from just 272 deliveries.

Enter Muhammad Abbas

If New Zealand supplied the blueprint, Pakistan arrive with perhaps the ideal bowler to execute it. Muhammad Abbas has built his reputation on an almost stubborn commitment to the same line and length.

Tracking data for all but one of Abbas’ 30 Tests shows he lands 51.1% of deliveries in the ideal good-line, good-length corridor, the highest proportion among pace bowlers with at least 50 overs in the sample. Good-length deliveries have yielded 66 of his 118 Test wickets at 17.39.

England is familiar territory for him. Since 2018 Abbas has been a fixture on the county circuit with Hampshire, Leicestershire, Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire, taking 302 wickets at 20.64 in 80 Championship matches and finishing as Nottinghamshire’s second-highest wicket-taker in their title-winning 2025 campaign.

Whether Pakistan mirror New Zealand’s tactic remains to be seen. Wicketkeeper Mohammad Rizwan is not as comfortable as Blundell or Alex Carey standing up to the stumps, though he has done it at times to Abbas, including on the recent West Indies tour. Abbas is also 7-8kph slower on average than a bowler like Henry, which may aid the tactic.

The series looms as a defining duel between Harry Brook, whose genius lies in manipulating a bowler’s length, and Muhammad Abbas, whose career has been built on refusing to miss that length in the first place.

Sources: https://www.cricbuzz.com/cricket-news/139881/keeping-up-with-the-kiwi-blueprint-why-abbas-is-the-perfect-antidote-for-brook